CS2 Float Rarity Calculator
Calculate how rare your skin's float value truly is. This tool analyzes float rarity within wear tiers, estimates market premiums for low-float skins, and helps you understand the probability of finding specific float ranges in Counter-Strike 2.
Float Rarity Calculator
Enter a float value to calculate its rarity percentile, understand where it ranks within its wear tier, and estimate potential market premiums. For accurate results on specific skins, enter the skin's float caps.
Float Value Input
Float Caps (Optional)
Float Value
Position in Tier
Within Float Range
1-in-X Rarity
Float Distribution Visualization
Estimated Market Premium
Float Rarity Reference
| Float Range | Rarity Tier | Typical Premium | Status |
|---|
Tip: Float rarity varies significantly by skin. A 0.001 float on an AK-47 Redline (min cap 0.10) is impossible, while on an AWP Dragon Lore (min cap 0.00) it represents the top 0.1%. Always consider float caps when evaluating rarity. Use tools like CSGOFloat to find skin-specific caps.
Float Range Probability Finder
Calculate the probability of finding a skin within a specific float range. Useful for collectors searching for low-float skins or traders evaluating potential inventory.
Define Target Float Range
Understanding Float Rarity in CS2
Float value rarity is a crucial concept for traders and collectors. Unlike simple wear conditions (FN, MW, etc.), float rarity measures how exceptional a specific float value is within its possible range. This understanding is fundamental to the Steam Community Market pricing dynamics.
Why Float Rarity Matters
When Valve's servers generate a skin through case opening or trade-up, they assign a random float value. However, this randomness isn't uniform across the 0-1 range. Research by the CS community, documented on platforms like CSGOFloat Database, shows that float distribution follows patterns that make certain values extremely rare.
Key Factors Affecting Float Rarity:
- Float Caps: Each skin has minimum and maximum float limits. A skin with a 0.06-0.80 range can never have a 0.01 float.
- Distribution Patterns: Float generation tends to cluster toward the middle of a skin's range, making extreme values rarer.
- Decimal Precision: Getting multiple zeros after the decimal (0.000x, 0.0000x) becomes exponentially rarer.
- Market Demand: Low floats are highly sought after, creating significant price premiums.
The Mathematics of Float Rarity
For a skin with float caps of 0.00 to 1.00 (full range), the probability of getting a specific float category can be approximated:
- 0.000x floats (0.0000-0.0009): ~0.09% chance (1 in ~1,111)
- 0.00x floats (0.000-0.009): ~0.9% chance (1 in ~111)
- 0.0x floats (0.00-0.09): ~9% chance (1 in ~11)
- Factory New (0.00-0.07): ~7% of float range
These are theoretical probabilities. Actual distribution may vary due to Valve's random number generation methods. For detailed probability theory, see resources like Khan Academy's statistics courses.
Float Rarity Tiers
Based on market analysis and collector consensus, float values can be categorized into rarity tiers that influence trading and pricing:
| Rarity Tier | Float Range (FN) | Approximate Odds | Market Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0.0000x - 0.000x | 1 in 1,000+ | +100% to +500% premium |
| Epic | 0.00x (0.001-0.009) | 1 in 100-1,000 | +50% to +150% premium |
| Rare | 0.0x (0.01-0.03) | 1 in 30-100 | +20% to +50% premium |
| Uncommon | 0.03-0.05 | 1 in 15-30 | +5% to +20% premium |
| Common | 0.05-0.07 | 1 in 5-15 | Market price or slight discount |
Important: These tiers apply to skins with standard float caps (0.00-1.00). Skins with restricted float ranges have different rarity distributions. Always check the specific skin's caps before evaluating rarity. Resources like CSGOStash provide float cap information for all skins.
Market Impact of Float Rarity
Float rarity directly influences skin prices on the Steam Market and third-party platforms. Understanding these dynamics is essential for informed trading, as discussed in our Skin Trading Guide.
Price Premium Factors
The premium for a rare float depends on several variables:
- Base Skin Rarity: High-tier skins (Covert, Classified) show larger absolute premiums for low floats
- Skin Popularity: Popular skins like the AK-47 Fire Serpent command higher float premiums
- Visual Difference: Some skins show dramatic wear changes, making float more valuable
- Collector Demand: Items sought by collectors (knives, gloves) have premium float markets
- Float Ranking: #1 ranked floats (lowest known) can be worth 10x or more
Real-World Premium Examples
Based on typical market observations (prices fluctuate):
- AWP Dragon Lore FN 0.069: Base market price
- AWP Dragon Lore FN 0.01: +30-50% premium
- AWP Dragon Lore FN 0.001: +100-200% premium
- AWP Dragon Lore FN 0.0001: +300-500%+ premium (if exists)
For current market analysis and pricing trends, check the Price History Guide and tools like Pricempire.
Finding Rare Float Skins
Collectors and traders use several methods to find skins with desirable float values:
Method 1: Third-Party Marketplaces
Platforms like BUFF163, Skinport, and CSFloat Market allow filtering by float value, making it easy to find specific float ranges. These platforms display exact floats on all listings.
Method 2: Float Databases
Services like CSGOFloat Database track millions of skins and their floats, allowing you to search for specific skins and see where they rank globally. This is invaluable for finding #1 float rankings.
Method 3: Trade-Up Contracts
Crafting low-float skins through trade-ups requires careful input selection. Use our Trade-Up Calculator to predict output floats and potentially craft rare float skins.
Method 4: Direct Trading
Many collectors trade directly on forums and Discord servers. Always verify float values independently using inspection tools before trading for premium-float items.
Verification: Before paying a premium for a rare float, always verify the float using browser extensions or in-game inspection. Our Float Checker tool can help analyze any float value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes a float value "rare"?
A float is considered rare when it falls at the extreme ends of a skin's possible range, particularly low floats (close to 0.00) or extremely high floats (close to 1.00). Rarity is relative to the skin's float caps - a 0.06 float is common for a skin with 0.00-1.00 caps but impossible for a skin with 0.10 minimum cap.
Why do 0.000x floats command such high premiums?
The probability of getting four or more zeros after the decimal point is approximately 0.01% or less (1 in 10,000+). Combined with collector demand and the status symbol of owning a "perfect" skin, these extreme rarities command significant premiums. Additionally, the CSGOFloat database tracks rankings, making #1 floats particularly valuable.
How accurate are float rarity calculations?
This calculator assumes uniform distribution within float caps, which is a simplification. Actual CS2 float generation may have slight biases, and market premiums vary by skin and current demand. Use these calculations as estimates rather than exact values. For actual market prices, always check current listings on marketplaces.
Does float affect gameplay?
No, float value is purely cosmetic. A 0.001 float skin performs identically to a 0.069 float skin of the same type. Float only affects visual wear (scratches, fading) and market value. Some players prefer "battle-scarred" aesthetics, creating demand for high-float skins too.
Can I improve my skin's float value?
No, float values are permanently assigned when a skin is created. The only ways to get a different float are: buy/trade for another copy, open more cases hoping for better luck, or craft through trade-up contracts (which use a formula based on input floats). See our Float Values Guide for complete details.
Why are some low floats impossible?
Each skin has hardcoded minimum and maximum float caps set by Valve. For example, if a skin has a minimum cap of 0.06, no 0.00x or 0.0x versions can ever exist. Check skin databases like CSGOStash for specific float caps before searching for rare floats.
What about high-float (Battle-Scarred) rarity?
While low floats are most commonly sought, some collectors specifically seek extremely high floats (0.99x, approaching 1.00) for their unique, heavily worn aesthetic. These "max BS" skins can also command premiums, though typically smaller than low-float premiums. The rarity principles work the same at both extremes.
Related CS2 Tools
Continue your CS2 float analysis with these complementary tools:
- Float Checker - Analyze any float value for wear condition and trade-up info
- Float Values Guide - Complete guide to understanding float mechanics
- Low Float Ranking Guide - Learn about float rankings and collecting
- Pattern Value Estimator - Calculate pattern-based premiums
- Trade-Up Calculator - Plan trade-ups with float predictions
- Wear Range Calculator - Check achievable wear conditions
- Skin Trading Guide - Complete trading strategies
- All CS2 Tools - Browse our complete toolkit
Expert Perspective:
"Float rarity is the hidden dimension of CS2 skin value. While most traders focus on wear tier labels, experienced collectors know that the specific float value can mean 2x, 5x, or even 10x price differences. A Factory New label tells you the skin is in the 0.00-0.07 range - but a 0.001 FN versus a 0.069 FN are completely different items in terms of collector value. Understanding float probability and rarity is essential for anyone serious about high-end CS2 trading."
Educational Disclaimer: This calculator provides estimates based on mathematical probability. Actual market values fluctuate based on supply, demand, and individual negotiations. CS2 skin trading involves financial risk. Always research current market prices and verify float values independently before making purchase decisions. Past premiums don't guarantee future value.
Last updated: January 2026